Prospects for electricity from renewable resources in the United States

In 2009, the National Research Council issued Electricity from Renewables: Status, Prospects, and Impediments the study report of the Panel on Electricity from Renewable Sources. As part of the larger America’s Energy Future study undertaken by the National Academies, the panel was asked to examine the technical potential for development and deployment of renewable electricity technologies. This paper summarizes the report by this panel. The panel noted that renewable electricity generation technologies represent a tremendous opportunity to provide low net carbon dioxide (CO₂)-emitting electricity generation from domestic resources and to generate new economic opportunities for the United States. The panel found that there are sufficient domestic renewable resources and technologies to allow renewable electricity to play a significant role in future electricity generation. However, although wind and solar electricity in particular have exhibited very large growth rates, non-hydropower renewables still provide a small percentage of total US electricity generation. The study considered the size and distribution of the resource base; the status of renewable electricity technologies; the economics of renewable electricity in light of various policy options; the environmental impacts of electricity from renewable resources; and the issues related to scaling up deployment. The panel concluded that an aggressive but achievable future for renewables could have non-hydroelectric renewables contributing 10% of the nation’s electricity generation by 2020 and 20% or more by 2035. To reach these levels, significant and sustained actions, involving a combination and coordination of policy, technology, and capital, will be essential. The panel emphasizes policy, technology, and capital equally because the scale of the effort required to reach such levels brings significant challenges beyond simple resource availability or technical capabilities.